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COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 18pt">国际机构纷纷上调我国经济增速预?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 42pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="center"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 方正小标宋简? COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 18pt">彰显经济发展底气<span> </span></span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="center"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black"><a title="微信" href="http://www.gov.cn.thecnr.com/xinwen/2017-07/28/content_5214141.htm##"><span style="COLOR: black; TEXT-DECORATION: none"> </span></a> <a title="新浪微博" href="http://www.gov.cn.thecnr.com/xinwen/2017-07/28/content_5214141.htm##"><span style="COLOR: black; TEXT-DECORATION: none"> </span></a> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black"> </span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">新华社北?span>7</span>?span>28</span>日电(记?许晟、于佳欣)国家统计局日前发布上半年宏观经济数据,主要指标好于预期,宏观经济稳定性增强。基于此,国际货币基金组织、亚洲开发银行、摩根大通等国际组织和机构纷纷上?span>2017</span>年中国经济增速预期,认为中国经济再平衡进程稳步推进,中国经济前景已经有良好支撑?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">国家统计局<span>17</span>日公布的<span>2017</span>年上半年国民经济运行数据显示,上半年我国国内生产总?span>381490</span>亿元,按可比价格计算,同比增?span>6.9%</span>?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">国际货币基金组织随即发布《世界经济展望报告》更新内容,将中国今明两年经济增长预期分别上?span>0.1</span>?span>0.2</span>个百分点?span>6.7%</span>?span>6.4%</span>。这?span>IMF</span>今年第三次上调中?span>2017</span>年经济增长预期?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">还有不少国际机构调整了增速预期。摩根大通和野村证券把中国全年经济增速预期由<span>6.7%</span>上调?span>6.8%</span>;亚开行将<span>2017</span>年和<span>2018</span>年的中国<span>GDP</span>增速分别由<span>6.5%</span>?span>6.2%</span>上调?span>6.7%</span>?span>6.4%</span>;渣打银行将<span>2017</span>年中国经济增速预期从<span>6.6%</span>上调?span>6.8%</span>,并预计中国有望实现<span>2010</span>年以来首次加速增长?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">还有,花旗银行将中国三、四季度经济增速预期,分别从此前的<span>6.5%</span>?span>6.4%</span>上调?span>6.7%</span>?span>6.6%</span>?span>2017</span>年全?span>GDP</span>增速预测值也?span>6.6%</span>调高?span>6.8%</span>;彭博对<span>56</span>位经济学家调查后也认为,中国经济三、四季度预期增长分别?span>6.7%</span>?span>6.6%</span>,比此前预估值分别提?span>0.1%</span>?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">国际组织和机构上调经济增速预期的举动,缘于我国二季度经济的超预期表现。亚开行在其发布的《亚洲经济展望》报告中解释上调增速预期时提到,二季度经济数据的超预期表现;野村证券称,二季度经济动能高于预期?span>6</span>月份经济数据表现较好?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">此外,国际机构和组织还对中国经济进行更深入的分析,肯定了经济稳中向好的态势。亚洲开发银行的报告认为,居民收入稳步增长、公共支出不断扩大支撑国内消费情况持续向好;部分商品价格?span>2016</span>年的低位温和反弹,叠加外需回暖,刺激了上半年进出口反弹?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">摩根大通也有类似分析:虽然基建、房地产投资放缓,叠加金融去杠杆冲击,或对下半年中国经济产生一定冲击,但整体看,消费、服务业的稳定扩张以及民间投资不断上行仍为今年中国经济积极前景提供了支撑?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">国际机构普遍认为,消费、进出口、服务业的稳定扩张以及民间投资的企稳回升为中国经济提供了良好支撑,宏观、中观的较好表现,促使其上调对中国经济增速的预期?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">多项数据表明中国经济发展运行在平稳区间。国家统计局数据显示,今年上半年消费支出对经济增长的贡献率为<span>63.4%</span>,稳居“三驾马车”之首;海关总署数据显示,上半年我国进出口总值同比增?span>19.6%</span>,创?span>2011</span>年下半年以来的半年度同比最高增速?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">但国际机构同时认为中国经济也存在不确定性。如,野村证券认为,下半年,房地产销售增速下降给经济带来下行压力;地缘性因素扰动、人民币汇率波动、流动性和货币指标高位回落,将给出口带来下行压力?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">《澳大利亚金融评论报》认为,对风险的痴迷可能会使许多观察者忽视中国经济的机会,中国二季度<span>GDP</span>增长<span>6.9%</span>,消费者信心高企,固定资产投资依然强劲等,显示中国经济发展的强劲动力,中国经济有风险,但更多的是机遇?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">商务部研究院区域经济合作研究中心主任张建平认为,外部环境的不确定性和投资放缓并不会对下半年中国经济发展产生太大影响,因为上半年中国进出口增速明显,为经济增长奠定了良好基础,全年外贸实现正增长问题不大。可以期待,今年宏观经济增长前景将好于去年?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">国际机构的数据分析也预示着中国经济的前景看好。渣打中国经济增长月度分析数据显示,<span>7</span>项前瞻性经济指标近期均取得不同程度的改善,这意味着未来数月内中国经济出现突然放缓的可能性微乎其微;花旗银行预计下半年经济略微放缓但仍能保持强劲增长,政府达成增长目标几无悬念?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; MARGIN: 11.25pt 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; BACKGROUND: white; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt">不少企业也对未来的宏观形势表示乐观。上汽集团旗下的上汽大通上半年销量同比增长近<span>30%</span>。上汽集团副总裁蓝青松说,上半年商用车销量的强劲增长,是宏观经济稳中向好发展的印证,“我们始终对宏观经济发展有信心,相信下半年仍将保持快速增长。?/span></p> <p style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋,仿宋_GB2312; FONT-SIZE: 14pt"> </span></p> </div> <div class="content" id="oth"> <ul> <li><span class="t">上传?/span><span class="c"></span></li> <li><span class="t">附件</span> <span class="c">暂无附件</span></li> </ul> <div><a href="#"><img src="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../images/back.jpg" /></a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="line" id="fot"> <div class="listline"><img src="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../images/listline.jpg" /></div> <div class="block"> <a href="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../index.html">首页</a>| <a href="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../ghxw/List/List_10201.html">工会新闻</a>| <a href="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../zcfg/List/List_10301.html">政策法规</a>| <a href="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../cwjs/List/List_10401.html">财务经审</a>| <a href="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../gyyj/List/List_10501.html">工运研究</a>| <a href="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../sdfc/List/List_10601.html">时代风采</a>| <a href="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../xzzx/List/List_107.html">下载中心</a>| <a href="http://gonghui-pudong-gov-cn.thecnr.com/../../pdgh/List/List_10805.html">浦东工会</a> </div> <div class="block">Copyright 2004 Shanghai pudong New Area Trade Union All Rights Reserved pdgh@pudong.gov.cn </div> <div class="block"><font color="#0e5ea4">上海市浦东新区总工? 版权所?/font> <br />技术支持:<a href="http://www.bitech.cn.thecnr.com" title="技术支持:上海瑞谷拜特软件技术有限公? target="_blank">上海瑞谷拜特软件技术有限公?/a></div> </div> </div> <a href="http://www.baidu.com/">ٶ</a> <script> (function(){ var bp = document.createElement('script'); 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